From Seattle writer and consultant Matt Rosenberg...

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Republican Moderates Show Strength

May 26, 2005

Knight-Ridder's Steven Thomma writes that the recent compromise brokered by moderate Republicans in the U.S. Senate on judicial nominations represents but one of several issues on which non-ideologue GOP members are prepared to flex muscle. Stricter federal spending controls, and support for federal financing for stem-cell research using human embryos are among other priorities for Republican moderates, Thomma says. The battle for the '08 GOP presidential nomination could come down to a revealing contest for the party's soul, between hardliner and U.S. Sen. Bill Frist (R-Tennessee) or moderate U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Arizona).

If the filibuster shoe were on the other foot, and the GOP was in the minority, trying to block a Democratic president's appointees, conservatives would be howling to preserve the filibuster, and not sacrifice it even to let three detested nominees through the turnstile, as Senate Democrats did. The Schiavo thing was utter and total overkill, right-wing posturing run amok. As far as federal funding for stem-cell research, it may be tantamount to supporting abortion in the minds of some pro-lifers, but to many others it amounts to a legitimate investment in medical research that could eventually help cure diseases and save lives. The inflamed arguments from The Right on these issues may be heart-felt, but they are alienating to many swing voters.

Politics is the art of the possible; you have to leave a few things out of your shopping cart at check-out time. You've only got so much political capital to spend, even as a majority party. Republican moderates, willing to buck the party's intemperate, politically greedy right wing, are my kind of Republicans.

I will define whether I am a Republican or not; and I am one. (Why? Keep reading). Some party hack isn't going to tell me I don't make the team because I'm not outraged over federal funding for stem-cell research, because I'm pro-choice, or because I don't lie up nights plotting Arlen Specter's demise. I think Republicans need to reach out to those who simply call themselves "conservatives," and be ready to talk to self-declared, unaffiliated "moderates" as well. "Leaving The Left" doesn't necessarily mean Embracing The Right.

It turns out Petaluma, California writer Keith Thompson, who wrote the excellent and much-noticed essay "Leaving The Left" in this past Sunday's San Francisco Chronicle, has his own blog. It's called "Sane Nation." And, inspired by some of the reactions from readers of his Chron op-ed, Thompson has a recent post taking apart the "either-or" political paradigm, titled, "Free To Leap."

Is leaving the left synonymous with moving right? By strict binary logic, the answer would seem to be yes. But not so fast—all choices in the real world aren't limited to sets of mutually exclusive twos. Contrary to popular belief, politics need not be a game in which the only way to move from the left is to head squarely in the opposite direction, or vice versa. There is another alternative, one that people on both sides of the continuum are getting hip to: We are free at any time to leap off the left-right line altogether and begin making political choices liberated from the gravity of the ideological continuum, whose pull turns out to be surprisingly escapable.

Republicans, with whom I am allied on many issues - including strong suppport for President Bush, the war in Iraq and the war against terrorists, and hostility to "identity politics" and "victim politics" - nonetheless need to understand that their own "litmus tests" are a form of political correctness, no less odious than much of the thought-policing that comes from The Left.

The truth is that just as there are Democrats who support school choice, plus our country's direction in foreign policy and, oh, say, forest management; there are Republicans who are pro-choice, alarmed at the federal deficit, and appalled by mindless American consumerism and workaholism.

Or, let's frame things in terms of certain Puget Sound and Washington state policy debates. You can support urban density and the overall thrust of state growth management legislation at the same time you may also oppose overbearing county regulation of rural landowners' properties. You can strongly support serious performance audits for state, regional and local governments, and cuts in programs, yet still grow incredibly weary of the "Always Say No" anti-tax contingent who attempt to hijack the discussion on regional road and transit funding at each and every opportunity.

Everything is not a zero sum game in policy and politics, though for some, it is easier to argue from such a premise.

It is very often the people in the middle, not hard-line party zealots, who decide elections. A group which understands this is the Republican Main Street Partnership, and they are mentioned in Thomma's above-linked Knight-Ridder piece about the GOP's increasingly relevant moderate wing.

"This is a big-tent party," said Sarah Chamberlain Resnick, the excutive director of the partnership. "Without us in the tent, they don't have a majority."

I'll cater the banquet inside the tent one of these months, here in Puget Sound. On the menu: Nine-Flavor Beef, Crab Claws, and Crispy Tofu With Vegetables.

Posted by Matt Rosenberg at May 26, 2005 10:24 AM

Comments:

People in the middle almost always hold the balance of power. That is why they find the role so profitable to play. It is by no means clear, however, that courting them is the surest path to electoral victory.

The winning part of most winning Republican coalitions over the last 30 years, including the last presidential election, centers around the evangelical Christian right. Although I share almost no interest in any part of their social agenda, there are strong moral and strategic reasons for treating them as an indispensable part of the Republican coalition.

For far too long their candidates for the federal bench have been shut out of consideration. If getting them more reprsentation means knocking down the filibuster, I am for knocking it down.

If someone like John McCain gets the next Republican nomination it will be over my dead checkbook.

Posted by: Tom Rekdal at May 26, 2005 01:19 PM

What is so unfortunate in the US that the two party system is so deeply entrenched that it makes political realignment extremely difficult. Imagine if there were four major parties: the Evangelical Christians, Main Street Republicans, Main Street Democrats and the Greens. My guess is that no party would have a majority but that the two Main Street parties would actually be the closest on issues and could form a coalition government that would represent a substantial majority of the population. However, in our two party universe, the Main Street Republicans will almost always side with the Evangelicals because of their fear and disdain of the Greens and the Main Street Dems will almost always side with the Greens because of their fear and disdain for the Evangelicals.

My point (however tortured it may be at this point) is that Keith's and your "Third Way" is appealing to many people, but it is extremely difficult to organize it into a cohesive political force in the current two party environment.

Posted by: Steven at May 26, 2005 01:37 PM

There are at least the four parties you indicate, Steve, and if we had a system of proportional representation rather than the winner-take-all system that we do, there would undoubtedly be far more than four.

But no matter how thinly you slice the political pie, there will never come a point where everyone is in perfect harmony with his fellow party-members. Walk into any room of "like minded folks" and you will quickly discover that you are not really of like minds on a great many things. So unless you wish to remain Steve, Party of One, you will always face the political problem we all face: What are the most important goals, who is most likely to help us attain them, and what must we give up to maintain the alliance?

Whether Matt is right, and we should cultivate the "moderates," or I am right, and we should cultivate a Conservative Strike Force, or we are both right under different, yet to be revealed circumstances, it is only clear that there is no obvious and permanent solution to this problem.

Posted by: Tom Rekdal at May 27, 2005 11:58 AM

You're right that no party is ever in perfect harmony on all issues. The point I was trying to make is that the Rs and Ds in the middle probably have more in common than they do with the extreme wings of their own party, but they remain with the party because of their fear of the extreme of the other party. For example, I live in McDermott's district. I don't think much of him as a Congressman. However, I would prefer to vote for him than a moderate R, because I know the moderate R will side with the Evangelicals more often than not and that's not acceptable to me. So I hold my nose and vote for McDermott.

Posted by: Steven at May 27, 2005 03:02 PM

A reasonable strategy, Stevan. Your situation is quite similar to the one anti-slavery voters found themselves in prior to the Civil War.

If we leave the Garrisonians out of account (because they abhored the compromises of any politics), anti-slavery voters in the Whig and Democratic parties had more in common with each other than with the pro-slavery or accommodating-slavery wings of the two major parties. Efforts to form a third party around anti-slavery principles, however, only drained anti-slavery votes out of the two major parties, making their influence less effective within each without any compensating influence on public policy. Thus, both the Liberty Party, and then the Free Soil Party, failed at the polls and in affecting the course of national policy.

It is not so clear that they failed at the level of public opinion, however;for when the crisis povoked by passage of the Kansas-Nebraska Act broke out, there was a level of anti-slavery opinion ready to coalesce around the single great issue of stopping the spread of slavery into the territories. Thus, the Republican Party, and eventually war.

It would probably take some issue of equally surpassing importance to get your favorite factions together in the same party.

Neither one of us is likely to enjoy the result.

Posted by: Tom Rekdal at May 27, 2005 05:35 PM

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