From Seattle writer and consultant Matt Rosenberg...

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The Fat Lady is Singing

November 02, 2004

SCROLL TO BOTTOM OF THIS POST FOR UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE EVENING.

QUICK UPDATE UP TOP***10:02 PM, PST. BUSH TAKES FL, OH...He's sewing it up!***Seattle monorail recall, I-83, tanking....). OhYeah!

4:54 PM, PST. Let's start off tonight with a few places you may want to check in, for updated election results.

National: Real Clear Politics, and Red State.

Washington State Sec. of State elections site, results posted after 8 p.m. PST.

My colleague Stefan Sharkansky at Sound Politics will be live blogging at that site tonight, from the Washington State GOP election night HQ in Bellevue.

King County elections site (Seattle and some suburbs).

Seattle Times, "The Booth" politics page, with updated news and links to election result sites.

The Seattle Post-Intelligencer's elections page.

Right now (it's just before 5 pm PST as I type this) RCP is reporting Bush has taken Indiana, Kentucky, Georgia, Virginia and West Virginia; Kerry wins Vermont. No big surprises there. Very early. No huge outcry yet over diffculties for voters. Long lines in Ohio, no major cries of "foul" yet in Florida. We'll hold our breath on that count.

UPDATE 1: 5:28 PM, PST: The P-I is reporting that so far Bush has won seven states with 57 electoral votes, and Kerry nine states with 43 EVs.

UPDATE 2: 5:41, PST. Of course, the Bush-Kerry numbers are already changing. Bush still slightly ahead in EVs. Early, early early. No swing states decided yet. Long night coming. Absentees could be crucial in Florida, automatic recount if margin 1 % or less.

UPDATE 3: 5:47 PM, PST. NBC: 102-77 Bush lead in EVs. Still no swing states called.

UPDATE 4: 5:53 PM, PST. NBC: Florida, 56-43% Bush with 35% of the vote in.

UPDATE 5: 6:38 PM, PST. NBC: Bush 53%, Kerry 46% in FL, 55% of the vote in there. 171-112 lead in EVs for Bush, still fairly meaningless, as no swing states called yet. Now NBC says 53-47 Bush in FL, with 65 percent counted (6:46 PM, PST).

UPDATE 7, 7:42 PM, PST. Florida state elections site: Bush 51-47, with 79% counted. Via the stellar site Real Clear Politics, which has other real time results links, including OH and PA.

UPDATE 8, 8:53 PM, PST. CNN link to live results from Ohio: Bush 52-48, 64% of precincts reporting.

UPDATE 9, State of WA election results site, Governor's race results page: Dino Rossi (R) in lead for WA Gov, 51-48 over Christine Gregoire (D). Doesn't say what percentage of precincts counted. Some 618,000 votes tallied in this race so far. Still relatively early.

UPDATE 10, 9:14 PM, PST: THINGS CHANGING FAST, trending Gregoire (D) for WA Gov. over Rossi (R). Now, with 873,000 votes counted, she's up 50-47. Patty Murray (D) creaming George Nethercutt (R) in WA U.S. Senate race. 51-46 for (R) Dave Reichert over (D) Dave Ross, U.S. House, Dist 8 (Jennifer Dunn-R, retiring). Good chunk of votes in, they're not saying what percentage, but trending Reichert (R).

UPDATE 11, 9:51 PM, PST: A link to my post just now at Red State. FL goes to Bush, OH not done yet but Bush holding a 2-3 point lead, with 83 percent of precincts counted.

UPDATE 12, 10:02 PM, PST. WA GOV. race tighter now, Gregoire 49.6, Rossi 48.3. Bush takes OH, has 269 EVs, it's all but done.

UPDATE 13, 11:21 PST. Put a fork in I-83, the Seattle Monorail recall initiative. It's being rejected by 63% of the voters, with 89% of precincts reporting. Seattle liberals are good for something, after all. Viva The Seattle Monorail. Coming Soon: Regional Monorail...? YeahBaby. Tax me, tax me.

Posted by Matt Rosenberg at November 2, 2004 04:54 PM


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Comments:

Thanks for the links and the updates: cannot bring myself to watch television coverage!

Posted by: Susan at November 2, 2004 06:08 PM

Stay tuned. It's gonna be a long night, unless it's not!

Posted by: Matt R. at November 2, 2004 06:44 PM

I like your selection for president. The NWO needs people like you on its side.

Posted by: Sheik Yobooty at November 2, 2004 08:01 PM

Great coverage on the action Matt! Care to venture any predictions, or just want to keep that fedora perched (on that fine-chiseled cranium of yours) cigarette perched on the lower lip - keys pounding out 'just the facts'?

Posted by: P Scott Cummins at November 2, 2004 09:27 PM

I'm holding off yet on prez race. If W. takes OH, it's done. Rossi-Gregoire tight, Reichert looking good. Monorail recall? Stick a fork in it (I've just seen the early (more fiscally conservative voter) results on TV 61-39 against recall with 23 percent of vote in). Hurrah for that!

Posted by: Matt R. at November 2, 2004 09:57 PM

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