From Seattle writer and consultant Matt Rosenberg...

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Bad News in Iraq = Bad News For Kerry

April 20, 2004

The worse things go in Iraq, the better Bush's chances for re-election, says Jeff Crouere at Bayou Buzz. The sooner Coalition and Iraqi forces get things under control, the sooner U.S. media attention shifts to the domestic agenda, where Kerry has a better chance of toppling Bush, according to Crouere. I'm with him on the first part, but I'd love to see the campaign unfold with Iraq stabilized and a domestic focus. I think Kerry'd still manage to tank.

Meanwhile, in today's Seattle Times Philip Gold - a local think-tank honcho, author, and national resource - argues the entire presidential campaign will be a waste of time unless the media ask much better questions (he gives examples) and voters really consult with each other.

On the topic of dumb questions, syndicated columnist John Leo has a hum-dinger of a piece on last week's Bush press conference.

Posted by Matt Rosenberg at April 20, 2004 09:39 AM


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Comments:

It is not difficult to see why Kerry is finding it hard to gain traction on the Iraq issue.

He cannot afford to vigorously defend American interests in Iraq without alienating the anti-war vote, which constitutes the main portion of his electoral "base." But neither can he risk inviting a terrorist attack in this country by sounding too much like a Zapatero.

Hence we get this wish-washy endorsement of the same goal Bush represents: a stable, pluralist Iraq--plus the tooth-fairy as the instrument of our deliverance. (The tooth-fairy, in this case, being the U.N.)

Few people, on either the right or the left, find this combination either credible or respectable.

Posted by: Tom Rekdal at April 20, 2004 03:25 PM

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